A Léger marketing poll for the Journal de Montréal said if the April 7th election were to be held today, the Liberal party would be given a majority government.
The race, however, is far from over.
The election is now into its 20th day and Pauline Marois and the Parti québecois continue to lose ground and have slid to 33 per cent support. The Liberals now sit seven points ahead with 40 per cent support.
Not only is the Liberal party leading, but 31 per cent think Philippe Couillard would make the best provincial premier. Marois is also trailing with a quarter of the total votes.
Francois Legault’s CAQ lost many federalist supporters to the Liberal after Pierre Karl Peladeau threw his support behind “Quebec, un pays,” and now has 15 per cent support. Quebec solidare is at 9 per cent.
Among Francophones, 30 per cent believe Marois would be the best provincial leader. Couillard has 23 per cent of Francophone support.
Quebec’s Liberal party has a majority of the support in the Montreal, Laval, Outaouais, Montérégie, Townships, Chaudière-Appalaches, Quebec City region and the Mauricie.
The Parti québecois continues to have a solid grasp on natural resource rich areas like Abitibi, the Laurentians/Lanaudière and Bas-Saint-Laurent/Gaspé. The PQ also has a lead in the Saguenay/Lac-Saint-Jean region where Liberal leader Philippe Couillard is running in the Roberval region.
The poll is considered major because 3,692 people were surveyed right across the province. Of which, 2,883 were Francophones and 808 were non-Francophones.