The Quebec election has real-estate agents on both sides of the Quebec-Ontario border agreeing on one thing: the market is on hold as homebuyers await the outcome.
Realtors say a Parti Quebecois majority on April 7 likely wouldn't result in the kind of mass exodus that followed the party's first election victory in 1976.
Thousands of Quebecers, mainly anglophones, fled the province after the Rene-Levesque-led PQ stunned the rest of Canada by surging to a majority win.
Libby Broady, a Montreal real-estate broker, says the market is taking a wait-and-see attitude this time around.
"Everything seems to be on hold from the buyers' standpoint," the 69-year-old said in an interview. "The buyers are not jumping in and making offers."
Broady, a real-estate agent in Beaconsfield, Que., for 26 years, said the local market improved this past January and February after a slow 2013.
That momentum, according to Broady, stalled when the PQ called the election in the first week of March.
"We've had a complete drying up of sales since the announcement for the election and we have had a real slowdown in the number of visits to our listings," she said.
She stressed she is not seeing people wanting to sell their homes and move to nearby communities on the Ontario side of the border.
But that could change, she believes, if the PQ wins the election.
"Maybe if the PQ got in with a majority and started talking referendum again, then you would see a completely different scenario," Broady said.
"Then we might see people seriously wanting to list their homes and get out — but we're not at that point yet."
She suggested the elderly may be among the first to consider leaving Quebec if the PQ wins.
"It is the retirees who are fed up and they say it's time to leave," she said.
"I haven't seen a lot of them putting their houses on the market in order to leave, but maybe that will happen if the PQ gets in with a majority."
One realtor in Hawkesbury, west of the Quebec border, agreed with Broady that nothing is moving.
Lana Barnes said the problem seems to be that Quebecers — mainly those living on the western half of the Montreal — cannot sell their homes.
She said jokingly she loves PQ leader Pauline Marois.
"The more she flaps her yap, the better it is for my business because people keep coming here (to inquire)," said the former Montrealer, who left Quebec with her husband in 1979.
"We married 37 years ago when all the crap was happening in Quebec," said Barnes, 60.
"So we just said: 'Do we want to put our money into Quebec or do we want to put our money in Ontario?' and seeing as how we had the option, we chose and came to Ontario."
Hawkesbury, which is located on the Ottawa River, is less than a one-hour drive from Montreal.
Barnes said that since the PQ's minority victory in September 2012, inquiries from Quebec-based buyers have tripled — from two to six calls per week.