On the eve of the April 7th Quebec Election, a new public opinion poll suggests the tightest race isn't for which party will lead Quebec but which will form the official opposition.
The survey by polling firm Forum shows the Liberals holding a large lead with 44% of voter support.
The Parti Quebecois continues to lose ground, dropping to 24%, while the CAQ approaches to within one point of the PQ, with 23% of voter support.
Quebec Solidaire remains in distant fourth place at 6% with other parties receiving 3%.
The PQ is also losing ground among Francophones, with 27%, compared with the Liberals at 35% and CAQ at 28%.
Approval ratings among the three major party leaders favor the CAQ's Francois Legault. Legault has a 57% approval rating, Liberal leader Philippe Couillard has 45% and PQ leader Pauline Marois is at 31%.
Just 21% of those polled said they want a referendum, while 75% are against the idea of a vote on independance. Only 23% of Francophones said they want to go through the referendum process again. Among PQ voters 60% say they want to put the independance question to the people.
Forum Research generated these numbers with an interactive voice response telephone survey of 1536 randomly selected Quebeckers 18 years of age and older, 1251 of whom declared themselves decided voters. The poll was conducted on April 3rd.
Results are considered accurate to within three percentage points, 19 times out of 20.