Fall and winter in Montreal could be slightly warmer than normal


The unofficial end to another short but blissful Montreal summer usually sees people looking ahead to fall, and another brutally cold Montreal winter.

And the long-term forecast from Environment Canada seems to suggest this coming fall and winter will be much easier to deal with than last year's.

"[The] early indications that I've seen...it looks like perhaps maybe in the Montreal and Eastern Townships area, it looks like it might be a little milder than normal, compared to other Septembers and Octobers," says Dave Phillips, Environment Canada's senior climatologist.

And after last year's brutally cold winter, Phillips has some good news for Montrealers — it's unlikely we'll see a repeat of it this year.

"Our premilinary models — of course that can change — are showing [this coming winter] may be even milder than normal," Phillips says. "My guess is the safe money is on the fact that it doesn't look like last winter.

"Oh, there'll be moments where you wish you were somewhere else, but generally, we don't think the length of winter and the brutality of it will be there in the same degree that it was last year."

One factor that may contribute to a milder winter — El Niño, the warm pool of water that exists in the Pacific.

"It's weaker now, it's not a sure thing that it's going to happen," Phillips says. "Generally for Canada, at least, that tends to bring us a midler than normal winter."

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  1. Richard posted on 09/01/2014 05:10 PM
    How about you get the 5 day forecast right before worrying about 6 months from now
  2. Henya posted on 09/01/2014 07:04 PM
    They couldn't get this weekend's weather right and they're predicting what will happen in four months from now??? They should better get in touch with Al Gore. He seems to know what's going on with the weather business and global warming. Oops. It was changed to climate change.
  3. More BS posted on 09/03/2014 08:15 PM
    24 hours would be an accomplishment . If you check 4 different weather sources they are all different. Leave the long term forecasts out of the picture because they can't predict a week in advance.
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